Benfica vs Atlético CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.1%
Win probability
4.35
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.8%
10-1
0.3%
+9
1.1%
8-0
1.6%
9-1
0.7%
10-2
0.2%
+8
2.5%
7-0
2.9%
8-1
1.5%
9-2
0.3%
10-3
<0%
+7
4.8%
6-0
4.7%
7-1
2.8%
8-2
0.7%
9-3
0.1%
10-4
<0%
+6
8.3%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
4.5%
7-2
1.3%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
12.5%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
6.2%
6-2
2.1%
7-3
0.4%
8-4
0.1%
+4
16.2%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.9%
6-3
0.7%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
11.1%
6%
Draw
0-0
0.5%
1-1
2.1%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
6%
3.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
0.5%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1947 |
FAM
1 - 5
SLB
17%
17%
67%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1947 |
SLB
13 - 1
SAN
96%
3%
1%
|
88 | 51 | 37 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1947 |
OLH
1 - 6
SLB
27%
20%
53%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1947 |
SLB
4 - 1
VIT
87%
8%
5%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1947 |
SLB
3 - 1
EST
90%
6%
4%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1947 |
ATL
5 - 0
BOA
76%
13%
10%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1947 |
VST
2 - 3
ATL
53%
20%
27%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1947 |
ATL
4 - 2
SLE
62%
18%
20%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 1947 |
ACA
3 - 2
ATL
51%
19%
30%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1947 |
ATL
1 - 6
SCP
16%
16%
67%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |