Europa League 1/32
Global 3-4
Benfica vs Aris Thessaloniki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.5%
Win probability
3.63
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.4%
7-0
2.5%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.2%
6-0
4.7%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.4%
5-0
7.8%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
11%
4-0
10.8%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
16.2%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
6.7%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
3.1%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
6.7%
2.7%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.1%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
UDL
1 - 1
SLB
22%
23%
55%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1979 |
SLB
4 - 0
VIT
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1979 |
ARI
3 - 1
SLB
18%
24%
58%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1979 |
BMA
0 - 3
SLB
19%
26%
55%
|
88 | 57 | 31 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
SLB
0 - 0
FCP
65%
20%
16%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Aris Thessaloniki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1979 |
ARI
3 - 1
SLB
18%
24%
58%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1974 |
ARI
1 - 0
RAP
39%
22%
39%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1974 |
RAP
3 - 1
ARI
76%
13%
11%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1970 |
CHL
5 - 1
ARI
82%
12%
6%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1970 |
ARI
1 - 1
CHL
24%
23%
52%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |