Champions League Quarter-finals
Global 2-1
Benfica vs Anderlecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
22.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1988 |
MAR
1 - 1
SLB
17%
26%
57%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1988 |
SLB
3 - 1
POR
80%
15%
6%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1988 |
VST
0 - 2
SLB
22%
27%
51%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1988 |
SLB
4 - 0
SPC
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1988 |
SLB
1 - 1
FCP
50%
26%
24%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Anderlecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1988 |
AND
1 - 2
BEE
81%
13%
6%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1988 |
MOL
0 - 0
AND
17%
25%
58%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1988 |
AND
0 - 0
LIE
78%
15%
8%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1988 |
BRU
2 - 1
AND
51%
23%
26%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1987 |
AND
3 - 2
LOK
78%
14%
8%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |