Europa League Final
Global 1-2
Benfica vs Anderlecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
17.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1983 |
SLB
8 - 1
GDA
92%
6%
2%
|
88 | 53 | 35 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1983 |
SLB
2 - 0
POR
84%
12%
4%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1983 |
AND
1 - 0
SLB
60%
22%
18%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1983 |
FCU
1 - 1
SLB
38%
27%
35%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1983 |
AMO
1 - 3
SLB
10%
19%
71%
|
88 | 57 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Anderlecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1983 |
AND
1 - 2
LIE
80%
13%
7%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1983 |
KSK
0 - 0
AND
38%
25%
37%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1983 |
AND
1 - 0
SLB
60%
22%
18%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1983 |
AND
2 - 1
ANT
75%
16%
10%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1983 |
AND
3 - 1
BOH
88%
9%
4%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |