Champions League Semi-finals
Global 0-1
Benfica vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
17%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1972 |
LEX
0 - 1
SLB
14%
26%
60%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1972 |
SLB
5 - 1
MAR
93%
6%
2%
|
88 | 29 | 59 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1972 |
SLB
5 - 1
ATL
87%
10%
4%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1972 |
AJA
1 - 0
SLB
69%
17%
14%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1972 |
FCB
1 - 0
SLB
18%
26%
56%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1972 |
FEY
1 - 5
AJA
51%
25%
25%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1972 |
AJA
8 - 0
MVV
88%
9%
4%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1972 |
AJA
1 - 0
SLB
69%
17%
14%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1972 |
GAE
3 - 2
AJA
26%
27%
46%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1972 |
AJA
2 - 0
DWS
89%
8%
3%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |