Benfica vs AEK Athens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
21.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
VST
0 - 1
SLB
18%
23%
59%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2018 |
SLB
2 - 0
PAÇ
72%
18%
11%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
SLB
4 - 0
FEI
76%
16%
8%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2018 |
BYM
5 - 1
SLB
78%
15%
7%
|
84 | 93 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2018 |
SLB
2 - 1
ARO
78%
16%
7%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
AEK Athens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
AEK
2 - 0
LAM
86%
11%
3%
|
84 | 59 | 25 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
AEK
2 - 0
XAN
67%
20%
13%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2018 |
AEK
0 - 2
AJA
34%
24%
42%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
PGE
2 - 1
AEK
22%
28%
50%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
AEK
0 - 2
ATR
67%
19%
13%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |