Benfica vs AEK Athens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.3%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.3%
7.4%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
OLH
2 - 2
SLB
14%
22%
64%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
SLB
4 - 0
ACA
74%
17%
9%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2009 |
BAT
1 - 2
SLB
26%
25%
49%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
SCP
0 - 0
SLB
45%
25%
31%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
SLB
0 - 1
VIT
73%
18%
9%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
AEK Athens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
AEK
3 - 2
LEV
72%
18%
10%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
PAN
3 - 1
AEK
47%
26%
27%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2009 |
AEK
0 - 1
EVE
33%
28%
39%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
AEK
1 - 0
PAO
51%
26%
24%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
AOK
2 - 1
AEK
21%
27%
53%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | -1 |