Benfica vs Oliveirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
94%
Win probability
3.48
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
1.4%
7-0
3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
3.3%
6-0
6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
<0%
+6
6.7%
5-0
10.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
11.8%
4-0
14.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
17.4%
3-0
17%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.9%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
12.5%
4.9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
2%
2-2
0.4%
3-3
<0%
0
4.9%
1%
Win probability
0.24
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
0.2%
2-3
0%
-1
0.9%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2004 |
SLB
1 - 0
PEN
80%
14%
5%
|
86 | 63 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
BEL
4 - 1
SLB
22%
24%
54%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2004 |
SLB
2 - 1
EST
72%
18%
10%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2004 |
KSK
0 - 3
SLB
24%
24%
53%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
UDL
1 - 0
SLB
25%
25%
51%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Oliveirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
ADO
0 - 2
PEN
18%
23%
60%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | 0 |