Benfica vs Academico do Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.8%
Win probability
3.95
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.7%
8-0
1.3%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.8%
7-0
2.6%
8-1
1%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.8%
6-0
4.6%
7-1
2%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
<0%
+6
7.1%
5-0
7%
6-1
3.6%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
+5
11.6%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
5.5%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
16.1%
3-0
9%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.5%
6.6%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
2.7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
6.6%
3.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1939 |
SLB
1 - 4
SCP
66%
17%
18%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1939 |
ACA
3 - 3
SLB
13%
18%
70%
|
86 | 63 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1939 |
SLB
4 - 1
FCP
69%
16%
15%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 1939 |
CAS
0 - 1
SLB
9%
14%
78%
|
85 | 51 | 34 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1939 |
FCB
1 - 1
SLB
13%
18%
69%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Academico do Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1939 |
FCB
6 - 0
APO
64%
18%
18%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1939 |
APO
1 - 0
CAS
83%
10%
7%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1939 |
APO
3 - 1
BEL
29%
22%
49%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | +2 |
| 26 Feb. 1939 |
FCP
4 - 0
APO
90%
6%
3%
|
61 | 84 | 23 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 1939 |
SCP
7 - 0
APO
91%
6%
3%
|
61 | 83 | 22 | 0 |