Benfica vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.5%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
7.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
SLB
1 - 1
MUD
24%
23%
53%
|
88 | 96 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
SLB
2 - 1
VIT
76%
15%
9%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2011 |
NAC
0 - 2
SLB
20%
23%
57%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2011 |
SLB
3 - 1
TWE
55%
23%
22%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
SLB
3 - 1
FEI
82%
13%
5%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2011 |
ACA
4 - 0
NAC
38%
28%
34%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
GFC
2 - 0
ACA
42%
26%
33%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
ACA
1 - 0
RIO
46%
28%
27%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2011 |
UDL
1 - 2
ACA
39%
28%
33%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
PAÇ
5 - 1
ACA
53%
25%
23%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |