Benfica vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.9%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.3%
6.8%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
SLB
0 - 2
FCP
44%
23%
33%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2010 |
SLB
0 - 1
TOT
46%
25%
29%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
SLB
4 - 1
ASV
50%
24%
26%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2010 |
SLB
4 - 1
FEY
65%
20%
15%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2010 |
SLB
2 - 0
SUN
69%
19%
12%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2010 |
ACA
1 - 0
SAN
53%
24%
23%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2010 |
ACA
3 - 0
VST
56%
23%
21%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
NAV
0 - 1
ACA
39%
28%
33%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
ACA
3 - 3
NAC
38%
28%
35%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
LEX
1 - 3
ACA
43%
28%
30%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |