Benfica vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.8%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
9.8%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
BOA
0 - 0
SLB
21%
25%
54%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
SLB
4 - 1
PAÇ
68%
20%
11%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
MAR
1 - 1
SLB
19%
25%
57%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2008 |
GET
1 - 0
SLB
49%
25%
26%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
SLB
2 - 2
UDL
69%
21%
11%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
ACA
0 - 0
VST
32%
28%
40%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
EST
3 - 1
ACA
52%
26%
22%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
ACA
0 - 0
BEL
35%
27%
38%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
FCP
1 - 0
ACA
72%
19%
10%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
LEX
2 - 2
ACA
50%
27%
23%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |