Benfica vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.8%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
11%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
8.3%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2005 |
MOR
1 - 2
SLB
22%
24%
54%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2005 |
SLB
3 - 3
SCP
46%
25%
29%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
SLB
0 - 2
BMA
75%
17%
8%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
SLB
4 - 0
BOA
65%
21%
14%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2005 |
SCP
2 - 1
SLB
43%
25%
32%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2005 |
ACA
0 - 2
VIT
48%
27%
26%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2005 |
ACA
1 - 2
MAR
42%
27%
31%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2005 |
SPB
2 - 0
ACA
65%
21%
14%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2005 |
ACA
0 - 0
FCP
18%
26%
56%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2005 |
RIO
0 - 2
ACA
62%
22%
17%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |