Benfica vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.2%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.4%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
14.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
16%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20%
11%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
5%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11%
3.8%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1998 |
CHA
0 - 4
SLB
15%
24%
61%
|
85 | 61 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1998 |
PSV
2 - 2
SLB
70%
17%
14%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1998 |
SLB
2 - 0
VST
82%
13%
5%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1998 |
CAM
0 - 5
SLB
20%
26%
55%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 1998 |
SLB
2 - 1
KAI
39%
27%
34%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1998 |
ACA
0 - 2
FCP
11%
19%
71%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1998 |
SPB
2 - 2
ACA
79%
15%
7%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1998 |
UDL
1 - 0
ACA
73%
18%
10%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1998 |
ACA
2 - 3
BOA
19%
25%
56%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1998 |
ALV
2 - 1
ACA
60%
23%
18%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |