Benfica vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.7%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
13%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
17.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.7%
1-0
16%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.6%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
0
15.6%
5.6%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1997 |
VST
1 - 0
SLB
23%
24%
53%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1997 |
SLB
4 - 0
CAM
82%
12%
6%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1997 |
BEL
1 - 0
SLB
20%
24%
56%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1997 |
BOA
3 - 2
SLB
31%
27%
42%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 May. 1997 |
SLB
0 - 2
VIT
69%
20%
12%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1997 |
ACA
2 - 0
BOA
20%
24%
56%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1997 |
VIT
1 - 0
ACA
77%
15%
8%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1997 |
ACA
0 - 1
SCP
21%
28%
51%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 1988 |
SPC
0 - 1
ACA
43%
28%
29%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1988 |
ACA
0 - 1
FCP
17%
28%
55%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |