Benfica vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.9%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.5%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.3%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.3%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
10%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10%
4.1%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1986 |
SPB
1 - 1
SLB
22%
25%
53%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1986 |
SLB
2 - 1
DUK
82%
11%
6%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1986 |
SLB
4 - 0
CHA
86%
10%
5%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1986 |
SLB
5 - 0
SCP
65%
21%
14%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1986 |
AVE
0 - 1
SLB
9%
18%
73%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1986 |
ACA
4 - 0
SPC
52%
26%
22%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1986 |
VST
1 - 0
ACA
56%
25%
19%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1986 |
ACA
0 - 1
PEN
63%
21%
17%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 1986 |
ACA
2 - 0
VIT
43%
28%
29%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 1986 |
MAR
2 - 1
ACA
46%
29%
25%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |