Benfica vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.8%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.8%
6.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1969 |
BEL
0 - 1
SLB
21%
27%
52%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1969 |
SLB
2 - 0
KBK
93%
5%
2%
|
88 | 39 | 49 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1969 |
SLB
5 - 0
VIT
85%
11%
5%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1969 |
LEX
2 - 0
SLB
20%
25%
55%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1969 |
SLB
2 - 1
ACA
85%
10%
6%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1969 |
ACA
3 - 0
VAR
79%
14%
7%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1969 |
ACA
0 - 0
KUO
83%
10%
7%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1969 |
FCP
3 - 3
ACA
62%
22%
17%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 1969 |
ACA
1 - 3
FCB
86%
10%
4%
|
79 | 50 | 29 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 1969 |
SLB
2 - 1
ACA
85%
10%
6%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |