Benfica vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.3%
Win probability
3.03
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.1%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.8%
6.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1968 |
FAB
3 - 0
SLB
28%
25%
47%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1968 |
SLB
0 - 0
VIT
86%
9%
5%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1968 |
SCP
0 - 0
SLB
37%
27%
36%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1968 |
SLB
4 - 3
ATL
89%
8%
4%
|
87 | 55 | 32 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1968 |
VAR
1 - 1
SLB
16%
23%
61%
|
87 | 56 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1968 |
ACA
2 - 4
FCP
49%
25%
27%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1968 |
UFT
2 - 1
ACA
35%
22%
43%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1968 |
FAB
4 - 3
ACA
31%
27%
43%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 1968 |
ACA
1 - 1
VIT
74%
16%
11%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1968 |
SCP
3 - 0
ACA
52%
24%
24%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |