Benfica vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.7%
Win probability
3.65
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.3%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3%
6-0
4.2%
7-1
1.6%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
6%
5-0
6.9%
6-1
3%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10.5%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
4.9%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.5%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14%
7.5%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
7.5%
3.6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1963 |
SLB
2 - 1
BVB
89%
7%
4%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1963 |
SEI
2 - 3
SLB
25%
21%
54%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1963 |
OLH
0 - 3
SLB
16%
21%
63%
|
87 | 61 | 26 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1963 |
SLB
5 - 2
VST
88%
8%
4%
|
87 | 62 | 25 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1963 |
SLB
5 - 0
LIS
88%
8%
4%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | -1 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1963 |
ACA
3 - 1
OLH
60%
21%
19%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1963 |
VST
4 - 0
ACA
61%
22%
17%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1963 |
ACA
2 - 0
VAR
57%
21%
22%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 May. 1963 |
ACA
1 - 3
VIT
55%
20%
25%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -2 |
| 19 May. 1963 |
VIT
1 - 2
ACA
77%
13%
10%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +1 |