Benfica vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.3%
Win probability
3.53
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.7%
6-0
4%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.6%
5-0
6.8%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
<0%
+5
10%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.2%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.6%
7.9%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
7.9%
3.7%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1962 |
SLB
6 - 0
FCN
82%
11%
7%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1962 |
SPC
2 - 1
SLB
18%
21%
62%
|
86 | 61 | 25 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 1962 |
SLB
4 - 2
OLH
87%
9%
5%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1962 |
SAL
4 - 5
SLB
17%
20%
62%
|
86 | 53 | 33 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1962 |
FCN
3 - 1
SLB
36%
22%
42%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1962 |
BEL
2 - 0
ACA
69%
17%
14%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1962 |
ACA
0 - 0
SPC
67%
19%
14%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1962 |
OLH
2 - 2
ACA
56%
22%
23%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1962 |
ACA
8 - 1
SAL
69%
18%
13%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 1962 |
ACA
5 - 2
LEX
48%
22%
30%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |