Benfica vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.6%
Win probability
3.33
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.5%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.7%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.3%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.4%
4.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1960 |
FCB
0 - 1
SLB
25%
23%
52%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 1960 |
SLB
0 - 0
SCP
63%
18%
19%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1960 |
SCP
3 - 0
SLB
54%
21%
26%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 1960 |
SLB
10 - 0
ANG
89%
7%
3%
|
88 | 36 | 52 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1960 |
ANG
0 - 2
SLB
20%
21%
59%
|
88 | 36 | 52 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1960 |
ACA
0 - 0
FAB
64%
19%
17%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1960 |
VIT
1 - 3
ACA
61%
20%
20%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1960 |
ACA
0 - 2
FAB
68%
18%
14%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 1960 |
ATL
2 - 2
ACA
57%
22%
21%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1960 |
ACA
5 - 1
SPC
63%
20%
18%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |