Benfica vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.8%
Win probability
3.28
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.2%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.1%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.3%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.9%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.2%
5.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1957 |
TOR
1 - 1
SLB
19%
19%
62%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1957 |
SLB
10 - 1
FCB
85%
10%
5%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1957 |
VST
2 - 3
SLB
19%
20%
62%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1957 |
SLB
3 - 0
ORI
80%
12%
9%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1957 |
ATL
0 - 5
SLB
20%
20%
60%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1957 |
ACA
2 - 0
LGC
57%
20%
22%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1957 |
ACA
4 - 0
TOR
67%
17%
16%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 1957 |
FCB
2 - 3
ACA
50%
23%
27%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 1957 |
ACA
2 - 0
VST
61%
19%
20%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1957 |
ORI
0 - 2
ACA
53%
23%
24%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |