Benfica vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.6%
Win probability
3.44
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.7%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.7%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.9%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4%
2-2
3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.6%
5.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1955 |
SPB
1 - 4
SLB
32%
22%
46%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1955 |
SLB
5 - 0
FCB
86%
9%
5%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1955 |
SLB
3 - 0
ATL
85%
9%
5%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1955 |
ACA
3 - 7
SLB
23%
22%
55%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1955 |
SLB
2 - 0
FCB
87%
9%
5%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 1955 |
BEL
0 - 1
ACA
80%
12%
8%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1955 |
ACA
3 - 1
VST
63%
17%
20%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 1955 |
BOA
3 - 1
ACA
59%
20%
21%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 1955 |
ACA
3 - 7
SLB
23%
22%
55%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1955 |
VIT
2 - 1
ACA
52%
23%
26%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |