Benfica vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.1%
Win probability
3.71
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.2%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.8%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
1.7%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.6%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
3.3%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
9.8%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
5.3%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.6%
8.6%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
8.6%
5.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1952 |
BEL
1 - 2
SLB
32%
22%
46%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1952 |
SLB
2 - 3
SCP
58%
19%
24%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1952 |
VST
2 - 1
SLB
16%
19%
66%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1952 |
SLB
5 - 4
SCP
60%
18%
22%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1952 |
SLB
5 - 0
FCB
86%
9%
6%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1952 |
ACA
1 - 2
EST
61%
18%
21%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1952 |
BEL
5 - 2
ACA
70%
16%
14%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1952 |
ACA
3 - 2
ATL
59%
20%
21%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1952 |
BEL
5 - 1
ACA
75%
14%
11%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 May. 1952 |
ACA
2 - 2
BEL
51%
21%
28%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |