Benfica vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.7%
Win probability
3.96
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.6%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.5%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.4%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
1%
9-2
0.3%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.1%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
2.1%
8-2
0.6%
9-3
0.1%
10-4
<0%
+6
6%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
3.7%
7-2
1.2%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
10%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
5.6%
6-2
2.2%
7-3
0.5%
8-4
0.1%
+4
14.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
3.3%
6-3
0.8%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
4.2%
5-3
1.3%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
14%
8.7%
Draw
0-0
0.6%
1-1
2.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
8.7%
6.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1947 |
SCP
6 - 1
SLB
58%
18%
24%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1947 |
SLB
3 - 1
BEL
74%
14%
12%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1947 |
ATL
3 - 2
SLB
17%
18%
65%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1947 |
SLB
5 - 1
FAM
95%
4%
2%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1946 |
SAN
2 - 4
SLB
5%
11%
85%
|
88 | 53 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1947 |
ACA
4 - 3
BOA
80%
11%
9%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1947 |
VST
5 - 1
ACA
59%
18%
23%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1947 |
ACA
4 - 3
SLE
59%
18%
24%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1947 |
ACA
2 - 1
FCP
39%
20%
41%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 1946 |
SCP
9 - 1
ACA
84%
10%
7%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | 0 |