Benfica vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.4%
Win probability
4.1
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.8%
8-0
1.2%
9-1
0.6%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.9%
7-0
2.4%
8-1
1.2%
9-2
0.3%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.9%
6-0
4.1%
7-1
2.4%
8-2
0.6%
9-3
0.1%
+6
7.2%
5-0
6%
6-1
4%
7-2
1.2%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
11.4%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
5.9%
6-2
2%
7-3
0.4%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
7.2%
5-2
2.9%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.5%
7%
Draw
0-0
0.6%
1-1
2.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
7%
4.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1946 |
SLB
5 - 0
ATL
94%
4%
2%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1946 |
VST
1 - 4
SLB
27%
21%
53%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1946 |
VIT
2 - 5
SLB
18%
21%
61%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1946 |
SLB
7 - 2
OLI
96%
3%
1%
|
88 | 54 | 34 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1946 |
BOA
2 - 4
SLB
9%
14%
77%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1946 |
ACA
1 - 3
BEL
23%
19%
58%
|
58 | 84 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1946 |
ATL
2 - 1
ACA
75%
13%
11%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1946 |
SCP
6 - 1
ACA
84%
10%
6%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 1946 |
ACA
3 - 5
VST
55%
20%
25%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1946 |
ACA
5 - 1
SLE
40%
21%
39%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | +1 |