Benfica vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.7%
Win probability
3.84
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.5%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.4%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.9%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
1.9%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
0.1%
+6
5.9%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
3.5%
7-2
1%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
10%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
5.5%
6-2
1.8%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
7.2%
5-2
2.9%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.2%
8.5%
Draw
0-0
0.8%
1-1
3%
2-2
3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
0.1%
0
8.5%
5.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1944 |
SLB
2 - 0
EST
91%
6%
3%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1944 |
SCP
3 - 2
SLB
68%
16%
17%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1944 |
SLB
8 - 0
EST
85%
9%
6%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1944 |
ACA
1 - 1
SLB
36%
20%
44%
|
86 | 63 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1944 |
SLB
6 - 1
ACA
88%
8%
5%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1944 |
OLH
8 - 4
ACA
72%
14%
14%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1944 |
ACA
1 - 1
SLB
36%
20%
44%
|
63 | 86 | 23 | +1 |
| 14 May. 1944 |
SLB
6 - 1
ACA
88%
8%
5%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | -1 |
| 10 May. 1944 |
ACA
3 - 0
VST
64%
16%
20%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +2 |
| 07 May. 1944 |
VST
3 - 1
ACA
59%
19%
22%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -2 |