Benfica vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87%
Win probability
3.82
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.4%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.9%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.1%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
1.9%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
0.1%
+6
6.1%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
3.5%
7-2
0.9%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
10.4%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
5.5%
6-2
1.6%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.1%
3-0
8%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.9%
8%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
3.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
8%
4.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1943 |
FCP
2 - 2
SLB
50%
20%
30%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1943 |
SLB
5 - 1
VIT
90%
6%
4%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1943 |
SLB
1 - 1
BEL
68%
16%
16%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1943 |
SAL
1 - 6
SLB
16%
18%
66%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 1943 |
VST
1 - 1
SLB
10%
15%
75%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1943 |
ACA
1 - 2
ATL
56%
19%
25%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1943 |
SAL
3 - 1
ACA
66%
17%
17%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 1943 |
ACA
1 - 5
OLH
78%
12%
10%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 1943 |
ACA
3 - 4
SCP
30%
20%
50%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1943 |
FCP
3 - 2
ACA
82%
10%
8%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | -1 |