Benfica vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.5%
Win probability
3.05
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
13.6%
10.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1942 |
UNI
2 - 4
SLB
18%
19%
64%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1942 |
APO
2 - 4
SLB
9%
14%
78%
|
85 | 56 | 29 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1942 |
SLB
4 - 0
CAR
91%
6%
3%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1942 |
SLB
5 - 0
LEC
93%
5%
2%
|
85 | 58 | 27 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1942 |
FCB
0 - 1
SLB
12%
17%
71%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1942 |
ACA
9 - 1
CAR
84%
10%
7%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1942 |
LEC
1 - 2
ACA
27%
21%
53%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1942 |
ACA
10 - 1
FCB
73%
14%
13%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1942 |
ACA
4 - 3
VIT
60%
18%
22%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 1942 |
SCP
3 - 1
ACA
87%
8%
5%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | -1 |