Benfica vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.2%
Win probability
3.85
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.2%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.6%
7-0
2.4%
8-1
0.9%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.5%
6-0
4.4%
7-1
1.9%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.7%
5-0
6.9%
6-1
3.4%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
11.1%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
5.4%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.8%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.1%
7%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
2.9%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
7%
3.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1938 |
SLB
3 - 1
ACA
85%
10%
6%
|
85 | 62 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1938 |
SLB
2 - 1
BEL
75%
14%
12%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1938 |
FCP
2 - 2
SLB
56%
20%
25%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1938 |
SLB
3 - 2
CAR
84%
10%
6%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1938 |
FCB
1 - 2
SLB
24%
20%
57%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1938 |
SLB
3 - 1
ACA
85%
10%
6%
|
62 | 85 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1938 |
ACA
1 - 0
FCB
57%
20%
23%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 1938 |
SCP
7 - 1
ACA
91%
6%
3%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 1938 |
ACA
5 - 0
APO
62%
19%
19%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 1938 |
CAR
2 - 1
ACA
62%
20%
19%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |