Benfica vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.6%
Win probability
3.23
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.8%
4-0
6%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
12.2%
9.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1935 |
SCP
3 - 1
SLB
55%
20%
26%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1935 |
SLB
3 - 0
FCP
55%
20%
26%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 1935 |
SLB
2 - 1
ULI
73%
14%
13%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1935 |
VST
2 - 5
SLB
45%
22%
34%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1935 |
SLB
7 - 2
APO
73%
15%
13%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1935 |
ACA
2 - 1
APO
56%
20%
24%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1935 |
BEL
4 - 0
ACA
69%
16%
14%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 1935 |
ACA
2 - 4
FCP
32%
21%
47%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 1935 |
SCP
5 - 1
ACA
75%
14%
12%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1935 |
ACA
1 - 3
ULI
54%
21%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |