Benfica Sub 23 vs Famalicão Sub 23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
20.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
3º
6º
6º
15
2º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
18 | 18 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
14 | 15 |
2º
|
40% | |
|
|
2º
|
15 | 15 |
3º
|
75.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
14 | 15 |
4º
|
40% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 9 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
8 | 8 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica Sub 23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2023 |
EST
2 - 2
BES
41%
25%
35%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2023 |
BES
1 - 3
VIZ
67%
19%
14%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2023 |
BES
0 - 3
EST
65%
20%
16%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | -2 |
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
2 - 1
BES
33%
24%
43%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2023 |
FAM
1 - 1
BES
25%
24%
51%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Famalicão Sub 23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2023 |
FAM
1 - 0
EST
41%
26%
34%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2023 |
EST
2 - 1
FAM
48%
25%
27%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2023 |
FAM
0 - 1
40%
26%
35%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
VIZ
0 - 2
FAM
42%
25%
33%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2023 |
FAM
1 - 1
BES
25%
24%
51%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |