Benfica Sub 23 vs Estrela Amadora Sub 23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
27.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-54%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
1º
8º
7º
9
2º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 30 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 29 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
19 | 19 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 18 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 17 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 15 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
14 | 14 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
9 | 9 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica Sub 23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2024 |
FAM
3 - 2
BES
49%
24%
27%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2024 |
BES
3 - 1
VIZ
47%
23%
30%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +2 |
| 30 Jan. 2024 |
SPO
5 - 2
BES
44%
24%
32%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2024 |
BES
1 - 3
EST
30%
24%
46%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2024 |
GIL
2 - 2
BES
41%
23%
36%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Estrela Amadora Sub 23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2024 |
EST
1 - 1
TOR
74%
16%
11%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2024 |
EST
0 - 2
FAM
41%
26%
33%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2024 |
VIZ
1 - 1
EST
40%
25%
35%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2024 |
EST
1 - 4
SPO
54%
24%
23%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2024 |
EST
1 - 1
EST
57%
22%
21%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |