Benfica Sub 15 vs Loures Sub 15 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
92.9%
Win probability
3.8
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.8%
8-0
1.5%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.8%
7-0
3.2%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
4%
6-0
5.9%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
7.5%
5-0
9.3%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
12.4%
4-0
12.2%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
17.2%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
5.2%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
2.5%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
5.2%
1.7%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.4%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+100%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
1º
3º
1º
10
4º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 21 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 18 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 17 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 14 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica Sub 15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
SAC
1 - 4
BNF
5%
10%
84%
|
45 | 17 | 28 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
CAL
0 - 6
BNF
4%
10%
86%
|
44 | 15 | 29 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
BNF
2 - 0
FOO
89%
8%
3%
|
44 | 23 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
RSC
1 - 1
BNF
13%
19%
68%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
BNF
2 - 5
SCP
38%
23%
40%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Loures Sub 15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
LOU
2 - 0
CAD
11%
14%
75%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
LOU
1 - 1
SAN
11%
16%
73%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ALV
8 - 1
LOU
87%
9%
4%
|
10 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SAC
4 - 0
LOU
82%
11%
7%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
LOU
2 - 1
CAL
23%
20%
57%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | +1 |