Benfica U15 vs Caldas SC U15 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91.3%
Win probability
3.19
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.9%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.3%
6-0
4.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
<0%
+6
5.1%
5-0
8.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
9.7%
4-0
13%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.8%
3-0
16.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.8%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.3%
6.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
3%
2-2
0.8%
3-3
0.1%
0
6.9%
1.7%
Win probability
0.31
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.5%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
1º
3º
1º
9
8º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 21 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 18 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 17 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 14 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
9 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
FOO
0 - 5
BNF
5%
13%
81%
|
48 | 19 | 29 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
BNF
2 - 1
RSC
78%
14%
8%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
SCP
0 - 2
BNF
61%
20%
19%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +2 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
BNF
2 - 0
ALV
87%
9%
3%
|
46 | 24 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
BNF
3 - 0
CAD
89%
8%
3%
|
46 | 19 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Caldas SC U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
CAL
0 - 0
CAD
20%
19%
61%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
SAN
2 - 0
CAL
74%
15%
11%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
CAL
2 - 0
LOU
55%
20%
25%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
SAC
3 - 1
CAL
66%
18%
17%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
ALV
3 - 0
CAL
83%
11%
6%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | 0 |