Benfica II vs Varzim analysis

Benfica II Varzim
65 ELO 54
19.6% Tilt 11.5%
1949º General ELO ranking 4617º
32º Country ELO ranking 70º
ELO win probability
78%
Benfica II
15.3%
Draw
6.7%
Varzim

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78%
Win probability
Benfica II
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.9%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.5%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
6.6%
Win probability
Varzim
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Benfica II
+7%
-5%
Varzim

ELO progression

Benfica II
Varzim
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Benfica II
Benfica II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Feb. 2022
CHA
Chaves
1 - 1
Benfica II
BEN
39%
27%
34%
66 67 1 0
21 Feb. 2022
BEN
Benfica II
3 - 0
Farense
FAR
58%
23%
19%
65 61 4 +1
13 Feb. 2022
SPC
SC Covilha
1 - 2
Benfica II
BEN
17%
23%
60%
64 53 11 +1
04 Feb. 2022
BEN
Benfica II
1 - 1
Casa Pia AC
CAS
54%
24%
23%
64 64 0 0
28 Jan. 2022
TRO
Trofense
2 - 0
Benfica II
BEN
11%
20%
69%
66 48 18 -2

Matches

Varzim
Varzim
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Feb. 2022
VAR
Varzim
0 - 0
Feirense
FEI
17%
25%
59%
52 68 16 0
21 Feb. 2022
ESA
Estrela da Amadora
0 - 0
Varzim
VAR
56%
25%
20%
52 54 2 0
17 Feb. 2022
VAR
Varzim
0 - 1
Farense
FAR
25%
27%
48%
52 60 8 0
13 Feb. 2022
VAR
Varzim
1 - 1
Leixões
LEX
32%
29%
39%
52 57 5 0
08 Feb. 2022
VAR
Varzim
0 - 0
Nacional
NAC
20%
24%
56%
52 61 9 0
X