Benfica II vs Trofense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
13.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2014 |
BEN
2 - 1
MAR
76%
16%
9%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
SCP
1 - 1
BEN
49%
25%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
BEN
0 - 2
FAR
63%
21%
16%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
POR
4 - 1
BEN
40%
27%
33%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
BEN
0 - 2
FEI
67%
20%
14%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Trofense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
TRO
1 - 0
FEI
41%
26%
33%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2014 |
BMA
0 - 1
TRO
56%
24%
21%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2014 |
TRO
1 - 1
GFC
24%
25%
51%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
TRO
0 - 0
CHA
33%
27%
39%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
FAR
1 - 0
TRO
60%
23%
18%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |