Benfica II vs Tondela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
24%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
UNM
0 - 2
BEN
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
BEN
6 - 0
BEL
37%
28%
35%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +2 |
| 23 Aug. 2012 |
NAV
2 - 1
BEN
57%
24%
19%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
FEI
2 - 4
BEN
56%
25%
19%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
BEN
2 - 2
BRA
57%
25%
19%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Tondela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
LAG
0 - 5
TON
12%
20%
69%
|
63 | 27 | 36 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
TON
2 - 1
BRA
62%
23%
15%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 0
TON
52%
26%
22%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2012 |
TON
1 - 2
TRO
48%
26%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
SCF
0 - 1
TON
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |