Benfica II vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
50.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
ACA
1 - 0
BEN
47%
26%
27%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
LEX
1 - 0
BEN
46%
26%
28%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -2 |
| 13 Sep. 2019 |
BEN
0 - 0
ACV
52%
24%
24%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
COV
2 - 0
BEN
35%
27%
38%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2019 |
BEN
2 - 1
OLI
58%
22%
20%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
NAC
4 - 1
POR
59%
23%
18%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
ESP
2 - 0
NAC
5%
11%
84%
|
68 | 45 | 23 | -2 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
NAC
2 - 1
PEN
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
ACA
1 - 2
NAC
27%
25%
48%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
VIL
1 - 2
NAC
15%
21%
65%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |