Benfica II vs Moreirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
23.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2013 |
BRA
1 - 3
BEN
36%
28%
36%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2013 |
AVE
0 - 0
BEN
41%
28%
31%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
BEN
5 - 1
LEX
51%
26%
23%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
PEN
1 - 1
BEN
42%
28%
30%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
BEN
3 - 0
POR
50%
26%
24%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Moreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
MOR
0 - 0
GFC
44%
24%
32%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
MOR
9 - 0
MER
91%
7%
2%
|
68 | 24 | 44 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2013 |
POR
0 - 0
MOR
37%
29%
34%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
MOR
2 - 1
FAR
57%
24%
19%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
MOR
0 - 1
OLI
69%
20%
12%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | -1 |