Benfica II vs Farense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
15.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
EST
1 - 3
BEN
60%
23%
17%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
BEN
2 - 1
PEN
52%
23%
25%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +2 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
BEN
0 - 1
PAÇ
28%
25%
47%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
SPC
2 - 0
BEN
32%
28%
40%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
BEN
1 - 2
COV
72%
17%
11%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
FAR
1 - 0
SPC
37%
28%
35%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
VSC
1 - 0
FAR
44%
27%
30%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
FAR
3 - 0
VAR
43%
28%
29%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
COV
1 - 0
FAR
40%
27%
33%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
FAR
1 - 2
PAÇ
19%
25%
56%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | 0 |