Benfica II vs Famalicão analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
17.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
SPC
2 - 0
BEN
44%
27%
29%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
BEN
0 - 4
UNM
50%
24%
26%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
PEN
2 - 1
BEN
40%
27%
34%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2017 |
BEN
2 - 3
POR
37%
27%
36%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 1
BEN
34%
28%
39%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Famalicão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
FAF
1 - 1
FAM
45%
27%
27%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
FAM
0 - 0
VSC
40%
26%
35%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
UNM
2 - 1
FAM
54%
26%
20%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2017 |
FAM
1 - 3
POR
46%
25%
29%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
POR
2 - 1
FAM
66%
22%
13%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | -1 |