Benfica Castelo Branco Sub vs Tondela U15 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.7%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
75.9%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16.1%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.8%
0-5
3.4%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.9%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
8º
10º
10º
39
2º
7º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
39 | 39 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 32 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 31 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 29 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 28 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 22 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica Castelo Branco Sub
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
FAT
2 - 0
BEN
34%
22%
44%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
GFN
2 - 0
BEN
82%
11%
6%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
BEN
2 - 5
UDL
20%
21%
60%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
LEM
5 - 0
BEN
27%
22%
51%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | -2 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
BEN
1 - 2
MAR
40%
22%
38%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Tondela U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
TON
0 - 0
GFN
54%
21%
25%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
UDL
2 - 3
TON
38%
22%
41%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
TON
3 - 0
LEM
84%
11%
5%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 0
TON
18%
19%
63%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
TON
0 - 0
ACA
72%
16%
12%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | -1 |