Benevento vs Avellino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.4%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
10.1%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
TRI
2 - 1
BEN
14%
22%
64%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2011 |
BEN
2 - 1
TAR
56%
26%
18%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
PIS
2 - 0
BEN
29%
27%
44%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
COM
2 - 1
BEN
23%
25%
53%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
BEN
1 - 0
SOR
49%
25%
26%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
AVE
2 - 0
REG
40%
27%
33%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
USF
1 - 1
AVE
63%
21%
16%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
AVE
1 - 3
TER
44%
27%
29%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
ASS
1 - 1
AVE
51%
25%
25%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
AVE
1 - 0
CAR
52%
25%
23%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |