Benevento vs Cavese 1919 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
29.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2009 |
JUS
0 - 1
BEN
27%
28%
46%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
BEN
2 - 1
ARZ
34%
28%
38%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
GAL
2 - 0
BEN
51%
25%
24%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
BEN
1 - 1
USF
41%
28%
30%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
FOL
0 - 1
BEN
37%
28%
35%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Cavese 1919
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2009 |
CAV
0 - 0
TER
55%
25%
20%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
TAR
2 - 1
CAV
28%
28%
44%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
PIS
1 - 1
CAV
23%
28%
49%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
CAV
2 - 1
FOL
53%
25%
22%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
POT
2 - 2
CAV
26%
28%
45%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |