Benevento vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
20.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2021 |
BEN
2 - 0
PUT
92%
7%
2%
|
73 | 25 | 48 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
FRO
2 - 2
BEN
37%
25%
37%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2021 |
BEN
3 - 1
REG
67%
19%
14%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2021 |
BEN
2 - 2
FOL
92%
6%
1%
|
73 | 27 | 46 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
TOR
1 - 1
BEN
66%
20%
15%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2021 |
SPA
5 - 0
SDA
90%
8%
2%
|
70 | 27 | 43 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2021 |
SPA
1 - 2
USC
50%
25%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
SPA
6 - 0
PON
82%
13%
5%
|
70 | 48 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2021 |
SPA
1 - 0
USC
47%
27%
27%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2021 |
REG
1 - 2
SPA
24%
28%
49%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | +1 |