Benevento vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
21.8%
29%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
33.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
BEN
2 - 0
POT
58%
26%
16%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
CAV
1 - 1
BEN
47%
26%
27%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
BEN
2 - 1
JUS
50%
28%
23%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
ARZ
4 - 1
BEN
49%
27%
24%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
BEN
3 - 0
GAL
37%
29%
35%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
VIR
0 - 2
PRG
31%
28%
40%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
PRG
1 - 1
CRO
43%
28%
29%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2008 |
USF
0 - 0
PRG
45%
26%
30%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
FOL
0 - 0
PRG
33%
28%
39%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
PRG
1 - 1
REA
57%
25%
18%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |