Benevento vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
36.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
BAR
0 - 4
BEN
59%
23%
18%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2016 |
BEN
1 - 1
LEO
46%
28%
26%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
LAT
1 - 1
BEN
43%
27%
31%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
BEN
2 - 0
VER
18%
26%
56%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 1
BEN
68%
20%
12%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
SPE
1 - 0
NOV
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2016 |
NOV
2 - 2
LAT
57%
25%
18%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
CTT
3 - 1
NOV
45%
25%
30%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
NOV
1 - 0
SAL
51%
26%
23%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
PIS
1 - 0
NOV
32%
28%
41%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |