Benevento vs Nocerina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
23%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+70%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
CAT
0 - 0
BEN
27%
26%
47%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
CRO
1 - 0
BEN
67%
20%
14%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
BEN
1 - 0
LOD
65%
21%
14%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1999 |
GUA
0 - 0
BEN
29%
26%
46%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
BEN
3 - 0
MAR
66%
20%
15%
|
56 | 35 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
NOC
0 - 1
CRO
28%
27%
45%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
GIU
2 - 1
NOC
30%
27%
44%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
NOC
4 - 0
MAR
59%
23%
19%
|
55 | 35 | 20 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 1999 |
AVE
0 - 1
NOC
63%
23%
15%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
NOC
1 - 1
ARZ
45%
28%
28%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |