Benevento vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.7%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
16.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.4%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
7.6%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
BEN
1 - 0
USF
53%
25%
22%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
LCR
1 - 1
BEN
23%
23%
54%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
BEN
0 - 1
TUT
67%
21%
13%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | -2 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
BEN
1 - 2
COM
58%
24%
18%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
BEN
1 - 1
JUS
59%
24%
18%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
MON
1 - 1
MES
51%
25%
24%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
MES
0 - 1
REG
31%
25%
44%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -2 |
| 26 May. 2015 |
REG
1 - 0
MES
67%
20%
12%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
FCS
2 - 1
MES
52%
25%
24%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
MES
4 - 2
SAL
17%
26%
58%
|
37 | 62 | 25 | +2 |